@Neil_Russell
You’ve got the math right. Roon loses money on lifetime subscriptions and at the same time limits it’s earning pool because lifers are irrevocably withdrawn from the potential subscriber’s pool.
Ultimately, offering lifetime subscriptions is one of two things:
Option 1) Betting on the potential client pool being big enough to offset the long term loss on lifers;
Option 2) Starting out with a subscription model with the firm intention of changing the business model along the way or living in the hope of selling the company for big money, after which it becomes someone else’s problem.
Mind you, I’m not speculating or trying to guess at Roon’s business plan here. I’m just observing a state of being and summing up the possible motivations as I see them in everyday business life.
There are only a limited number of business plans, none of which are driven by altruism. A company that has to resort to fast earnings when it would logically go for a steady long term repeated income either wants to establish a market share very fast (and abandons the fast earnings ASAP) or has insufficient financial footing, in which case the fast earnings route soon becomes a losing proposition.
This is a general observation that tends to hold true.
I have no idea of Roon’s financial position, nor do I wish to know it. The operational side of Roon is Roon’s business, not mine.
The commercial side of Roon’s business, i.e. the product, is my business (in the sense of: it concerns me) as I pay for the product.
What many people do not seem to grasp is that I consciously chose to stick to the subscription system, instead of “investing” a relatively small sum in order to coast along at the expense of others in case Roon becomes a smash hit.
Economically this makes more sense to me than the virtual long term fiscal earning I would get by paying for a life subscription. After all: as long as I believe the product to be worth the price of an annual subscription, I will be paying for the subscription, thus helping to keep Roon in business.
I would argue that this is beneficial to both myself and Roon. Not mathematically of course: I will be paying much more than a lifer over time. But… I will be actively contributing to Roon’s continued existence. Lifers will not.
It is beneficial to Roon as well: they will continue to receive income from me, provided the product continues to satisfy me and the other dutifully paying customers. It is an incentive for Roon to keep up the level of quality and thus, to adress @AndersVinberg’s position on value, keep up the value of the product.
Delightful (for me that is) as the economical sideline is, it detracts from the main issue of this thread, which remains the question of how good Roon is in fulfilling their marketing promises. Or maybe it isn’t. As @grossmsj rightly states: there is such a thing as behavioural economics. Homo Economicus does not exist. Which is why I outlined my thinking in sticking to the subscription model, even though it will probably be costing me more in the long run. I wouldn’t be making this choice if I didn’t believe on some level that Roon might evolve into something better.
Those who think this thread is about Roon bashing are mistaken. But I am pleased that the economical side is being addressed.